|Day's range||18.39 - 21.08|
|52-week range||8.56 - 50.30|
After a turbulent morning, Greater China markets rebounded strongly, following a series of measures by China's securities regulator to support the struggling stock market. China's GDP numbers showed its economic growth slowed to 6.5 percent year-over-year in the third quarter of 2018. Stocks in Asia were mixed on Friday after China's GDP growth for the third quarter of 2018 came in below expectations.
Miami International Holdings Inc., a small but rapidly growing exchange operator, won regulatory approval on Friday for options on an index that tracks expectations for U.S. stock volatility. The measure, called SPIKES, competes head-to-head with the already established Cboe Volatility Index, known as the VIX. The VIX has also been beset by controversies and problems in 2018.
Stocks got crushed again on Thursday as all three of the major indexes had their worst two-day stretch in 8 months, but investors shouldn't be spooked by the spike in volatility, according to Credit Suisse.
It’s been a wild week for stocks after the the S&P 500 tumbled more than 3% during Wednesday’s session, but one market strategists says the market volatility is normal in October.
A group of investors filed a complaint against Cboe Global Markets Inc. on Friday, alleging that they experienced losses because its popular volatility products were manipulated. The complaint alleges that market players consistently manipulated prices of derivatives tied to the VIX—a widely watched volatility measure that is also known as the Cboe Volatility Index. The investors claim that Cboe, which operates the largest options exchange in the U.S., knew about the activity, according to the complaint filed in the Northern District of Illinois.
The S&P 500 hit another record high last week and is ahead by nearly 10 percent for the year, confirming its longer-term uptrend through August and now most of September — historically challenging months. The market during this economic cycle has not tolerated stocks much above this valuation with bond yields in the 3 percent area. If the stock market were football, then entering the fourth quarter it would be the bulls' game to lose, with most of the pregame question marks about their stamina and halftime worries over roster depth answered assertively — in the form of a big lead and few obvious weaknesses.
Stephen Diggle, who co-founded a hedge fund that made $2.7 billion on volatility wagers during the global financial crisis, isn’t betting on similar fluctuations now even as central banks begin to roll back years of extraordinary stimulus. Governments and central banks worldwide now see themselves as “guardians of the capital markets” and will always be ready to provide liquidity to prevent a repeat of the unprecedented price swings a decade ago, said Diggle, the chief executive officer of family office Vulpes Investment Management. “Generally we’ll have less super liquidity in future, so I expect generally slightly more volatility,” said Diggle, who is based in Singapore.
The S&P 500 has gone 53 trading days without a move of 1% in either direction, the longest such streak since January and just the fifth time the benchmark index has moved less than 1% on 50 consecutive sessions in the past five years, according to Dow Jones Market Data. It last moved at least 1% on June 25, falling 1.4% as trade fears gripped global markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite have also been relatively calm recently, though certain sectors have at times been volatile.
Buying on the eve of the Lehman crash would have left an investor underwater even three years later. Before Lehman Brothers collapsed, before AIG buckled, before the financial system fully broke down and was bailed out, stocks were already in a bear market. Bank stocks had hemorrhaged more than half their value over the prior year and a half, and the U.S. was nearly a year into a bruising recession.
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Traders have been betting against the CBOE Volatility Index, a popular gauge of market fear that goes up when the stock market falls. Strategist David Bianco anticipates the market could fall up to 9 percent as volatility increases during autumn. One indicator is coming in the VIX futures market — the place where market participants place bets about the path of the CBOE Volatility Index , a popular fear gauge.
Markets have been uncomfortable this year for hedge funds, fund managers, retail investors… only a handful appear to be enjoying the ride. Uncertainty is elevated, even if it's not reflected in the the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the so-called fear gauge. Economic stress in Turkey is usually the first warning signal for an abrupt shift in risk tolerance for global markets.
The S&P 500 has already hit a new record--when including dividends. The benchmark’s Total Return Index, which includes dividends in the returns of the S&P 500, has moved higher at a faster pace in recent sessions to again surpass its January highs. The broad stock-market index, which doesn’t include dividends, is up nearly 7% in 2018, just shy of the 8.1% advance for the total return index, as The Wall Street Journal’s Markets newsletter noted Thursday.
Investing.com - The S&P 500 was marginally higher on Thursday, putting it just half a percent away from the all-time high it reached it January, testifying to the strength of the world's biggest economy and corporate sector.
At the same time, the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, has fallen steadily to levels last seen just before the plunge despite the rise in global trade tensions, political unrest and major central banks talking about joining the Federal Reserve in cutting back on extraordinary stimulus measures. At about 16 times earnings estimates for 2019, the S&P 500 is cheaper now than in late January despite profit forecasts rising to about $178 a share from $161 then.
Regulators are looking into Options Clearing Corp.'s risk management models and margin rules after a spike in market volatility in February left many traders with steep losses, the WSJ reports. A widely followed barometer of market sentiment called the VIX, or CBOE Volatility Index, spiked in early February, causing a cascade of issues in the options market.
Technician Mark Sebastian vets the action in the VIX with CNBC's Jim Cramer. Sebastian's charts suggest that another February-style sell-off isn't in the works, the "Mad Money" host says. With the stock market nearing the all-time highs it reached in January, CNBC's Jim Cramer knows investors are starting to wonder if these levels are sustainable.
The S&P 500 closed at a 5.5-month high price level on Wednesday and clocked the second consecutive daily gain. On Thursday, nine out of 11 major S&P 500 sectors closed the day lower. The release of stronger-than-expected earnings reports boosted the S&P 500 on Wednesday.
Payment processing companies like Mastercard Incorporated (MA) and Visa Inc. (V) expect to see a hit in their payment volumes moving forward. Consumer confidence is expected to be impacted by trade tensions.