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Q4 Earnings Season Scorecard and Analyst Reports for Alibaba, Toyota & Others

Sheraz Mian

Monday, February 10, 2020

The Zacks Research Daily presents the best research output of our analyst team. Today's Research Daily features new research reports on 16 major stocks, including Alibaba Group (BABA), Toyota Motor (TM) and Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY). These research reports have been hand-picked from the roughly 70 reports published by our analyst team today. We have also provided below a real-time scorecard of the ongoing Q4 earnings season that takes into account the reports that came out this morning.  

You can see all of today’s research reports here >>>

Q4 Earnings Season Scorecard (as of February 10th, 2020)

Total earnings or aggregate net income for 325 S&P 500 members that have reported Q4 results already are up +0.7% from the same period last year on +4.1% higher revenues, with 72.6% beating EPS estimates and 68% beating revenue estimates

Other than the EPS beats percentage, which at 72.6% is tracking below what we had seen from this group of companies in other recent periods, the Q4 performance thus far represents a notable improvement over the recent past.

Estimates for the current period (2020 Q1) have started coming down in recent days, with the impact of the Coronavirus adding to the historical trend when current-period estimates fall as companies report results for the preceding period. For 2020 Q1, total earnings for the S&P 500 index are currenty expected to be up +1.5% from the same period last year on +5% higher revenues.

For more details about the Q4 earnings season, please check out our weekly report >>> 3 Things to Know About the Q4 Earnings Season 

Alibaba’s shares have outperformed the Zacks Internet Commerce industry in the past six months (+35.9% vs. +20.5%). The Zacks analyst believes that Alibaba is benefiting from steady improvement in core commerce along with strong growth in metrics.

Further, Alibaba’s strengthening cloud business with its expanding customer base continues to drive its performance. Its New Retail strategy is also gaining significant momentum in the market. This is aiding growth in its Tmall Import, Hema fresh food grocery business and Intime Department Stores.

Additionally, the consolidation of and Cainiao Network is acting as a tailwind. However, the company’s increasing investments, uncertain economy and macro headwinds in China are major concerns. Also, rising competition poses a risk. 

(You can read the full research report on Alibaba here >>>)

Shares of Toyota Motor have gained +21.5% over the past year against the Zacks Foreign Automotive industry's rise of +8.6%. The Zacks analyst believes that expanding portfolio of product lines is driving the firm’s prospects. In order to capitalize on the accelerated global shift to electric cars, the auto giant of Japan is deepening focus on developing electric and autonomous vehicles, which will bolster the company’s product competitiveness.

Its healthy balance sheet, improving cash flows and investor-friendly moves are other positives. However, anticipating a slowdown in India, China, Indonesia and Thailand, the company narrowed its annual vehicle sales target for fiscal 2020.

High research and development expenses on advanced technologies for the development of EVs and driverless cars are also likely to dent near-term margins. As such, investors are recommended to wait for a better entry point.

(You can read the full research report on Toyota Motor here >>>)

Bristol-Myers Squibb’s shares have gained +13.9% over the past three months against the Zacks Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry's rise of +9.4%. The Zacks analyst believes that label expansion of Opdivo into additional indications should further boost the top line. Empliciti and Sprycel are also performing well on label expansions.

Bristol-Myers’ performance in the fourth quarter was encouraging. Earnings and sales beat estimates primarily on addition of Celgene’s drugs to its portfolio. The outlook for 2020 was encouraging as well. Blood thinner drug, Eliquis, is expected to drive growth, propelled by increased share in the NOAC market.

Meanwhile, the acquisition of Celgene has strengthened the company’s oncology portfolio. However, concerns will rise once Revlimid loses patent protection. Moreover, the company is facing headwinds like stiff competition from other immuno-oncology drugs and pipeline setbacks.

(You can read the full research report on Bristol-Myers Squibb here >>>)

Other noteworthy reports we are featuring today include Chubb (CB), S&P Global (SPGI) and Uber Technologies (UBER).

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Sheraz Mian

Director of Research

Note: Sheraz Mian heads the Zacks Equity Research department and is a well-regarded expert of aggregate earnings. He is frequently quoted in the print and electronic media and publishes the weekly Earnings Trends and Earnings Preview reports. If you want an email notification each time Sheraz publishes a new article, please click here>>>

Today's Must Read

Alibaba (BABA) Drives On Cloud Growth; Investments Hurt

Emphasis on Electric Cars to Aid Toyota (TM) Amid High Capex

Label Expansions of Opdivo, Eliquis Fuel Bristol-Myers (BMY)

Featured Reports

Chubb (CB) Rides on Rise in Premiums, Solid Capital Position

Per the Zacks analyst, Chubb's inorganic and organic growth efforts, a broad product suite, rise in insurance rates have driven premium growth; a solid balance sheet enables investment in business.

Revenues From Rides Aid Uber (UBER) Amid Cost Woes

Per the Zacks analyst, Uber is benefiting from significant growth in revenues from its rides business.

Investments Aids Northrop (NOC), High Operating Expenses Hurt

Per the Zacks Analyst, Northrop Grumman's regular investments in growth projects bolsters its future prospects.

UBS Group (UBS) Exhibits Cost Control, Low Rates a Concern

Per the Zacks analyst, UBS Group's cost saving measures to drive operational efficiency are encouraging.

Automation Solutions Drives Emerson (EMR), High Costs Hurt

Per the analyst, strong performance of Emerson's Automation Solutions segment fuelled by strong final control and systems businesses should drive its revenues. High operating costs remain concerns.

Suncor (SU) Buoyed by Syncrude and Hebron Operations

The Zacks analyst believes that production ramp-ups at Suncor's major projects, including Syncrude and Hebron, should support its growth momentum and earnings.

S&P Global (SPGI) Benefits From Buyouts Amid Weak Issuance

The Zacks analyst likes S&P Global's acquisition strategy to innovate, increase differentiated content and develop new products. Reduced issuance volumes in the United States weighs on the top line.

New Upgrades

Traffic Growth & Fleet Upgrade Buoy Ryanair's (RYAAY) Growth

The Zacks Analyst likes the traffic increase due to strong air-travel demand. Efforts to modernize its fleet are also encouraging. Initiatives to reward shareholders are commendable too.

Rise in Digital Subscribers to Benefit New York Times (NYT)

Per the Zacks analyst, The New York Times Company will gain from rise in digital subscribers and advertising.

Fleet Upgrade, Passenger Revenues Aid Spirit Airlines (SAVE)

The Zacks Analyst appreciates the company's efforts to modernize its fleet. Passenger revenue growth on the back of strong demand for air travel is also encouraging.

New Downgrades

Weak Demand, Plant Outages to Hurt Ingevity (NGVT)

Per the Zacks analyst, softer industrial demand will weigh on the company's Performance Chemicals segment. Maintenance outages at the Covington plant will also hurt its margins.

Lower Prices, Softer Demand to Weigh on Olin (OLN)

Per the Zacks analyst, lower pricing is hurting Olin's Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls unit. Demand weakness in automotive and industrial coatings markets is also weighing on its Epoxy business.

Soft Holiday Sales Results to Hurt GameStop's (GME) Top Line

Per the Zacks analyst, holiday season turned out to be a tough one for GameStop with customers choosing to postpone their purchases on account of expected console launches in late 2020.

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Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) : Free Stock Analysis Report
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Chubb Limited (CB) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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