Thu 23 Feb, 2012, 8:50 PM IST - India Markets closed

  • The three reasons people buy insurance is:

    a) To save tax.

    b) As an investment, to make a good return on their money.

    c) To feel good that one has some insurance or to get rid of that pesky uncle who keeps mentioning it.

    The fourth — and perhaps most important — reason to buy insurance is to let your family be financially secure if you die. This is the only reason anything should be insured. Car insurance gives you money if your car has an accident, and covers costs for people you might injure. Home Fire insurance covers the damages in case there's a fire. You pay every year, and you're happy to not have to claim (because it means you've not had an accident or a fire!); and at the end, you don't get your money back.

    Not so with Life insurance. The most policies bought are for the purpose of saving or investing, not for insurance. And that, further, is because Life Insurance is hardly ever bought, it's sold. The sellers get a fatter commission when they sell you a "saving" product, so

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  • In 1973, the Kreditbanken (bank) at Norrmalmstorg in Stockholm was attacked by robbers, who held bank employees hostage for five days. After the drama, it was evident that the hostages sympathized with their captors, even though they were held against their will. The situation is now considered an academic study — the Stockholm Syndrome — where people get emotionally attached to people who obviously try to do them harm.

    More apparent, perhaps was the case of Jaycee Lee Dugard, who was held for 18 long years — from 1991 to 2009 — but got so emotionally attached to her abductor that she even helped him in his business and met customers. Being an unwilling hostage, or in other cases, just being in an unwelcome situation with no way out, makes us rationalize in favour of our position.

    Less dramatically, we become hostage to our own opinion. We simply can't let go of what we believe is "normal", even in the face of facts. If your blood tests show you have a high cholesterol level, your

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  • While we are battered with news about abandoned babies, victories and then losses for telecom firms, elections in UP and surging stock markets, it's useful to note the quietly released data on the fiscal deficit that are seriously alarming.

    The Comptroller General of Accounts (CGA) has reported that the government revenue, from April to December 2011, is 15% lower than the same period last year. Meanwhile, total expenditure is up 14%. Higher spending and lower revenue point to a fiscal deficit that is more than double last year's figures, till December.

    Indian Central government

    Advance Taxes Are Not Enough

    December, was when corporates (and individuals) pay another chunk of advance tax. This should have bolstered government revenues, but it seemingly has not. Total tax revenue in December, net of what was paid to the states, was Rs 99,944 crores, just 5.3% above the previous year. For the April to December time period, tax collections are just 7.5% higher.

    Consider that India's Gross Domestic Product has

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  • "Inflation is when you pay Rs. 100 for the fifty rupee haircut you used to get for 25 rupees when you had hair"; a quote I received on twitter. In India, when we speak of inflation, we've never really talked about haircuts. No, I'm serious, stick with me.

    The Inflation Index that our country talks about is based on the Wholesale Price Index (WPI), which is a weighted sum of product prices at the wholesale level. That means stuff that you can buy at wholesale markets, such as vegetables, copper, fuel, or even liquor. But it doesn't include the cost of services; the WPI will indicate the cost of vegetables and meat to your favourite restaurant, but it won't add up the cost of chef/waiters' salaries, rent of the premises, air-conditioning costs and valet parking. In the haircut example, they'll note that the scissors or shampoo got more expensive, not that the haircut costs you more.

    The world over, what is used is a Consumer Price Index (CPI), which uses a basket of goods that you are

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  • Many of us desire to make money from the stock markets, because it doesn't seem to take a lot of skill. After all, like a casino, all you need is one good trade. That's what we read about — the success stories of investing talk about how Warren Buffett bought into Coke, or Rakesh Jhunjhunwala bought Titan, or Paulson shorted sub-prime mortgages or such.

    While these investors — and many others — have benefited from the huge success of a few stocks, there are thousands, even millions, of other investors who lost much of their money chasing performance. And not just speculating, but even with deep, well researched analysis. A stock that seemed like a steal three years ago is still a steal; they have higher profits, and a lower stock price. In another ten years, they might still have the same stock price. The "value trap" attracts people who think luck plays no role in investing, that all it takes is good analysis.  Value traps are lessons you don't learn about in books; real life teaches

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Deepak Shenoy has built technology companies and now trades and writes about the Indian financial markets. He has built and deployed algorithmic trading systems and continues to work with back-testing, refining and enhancing trading through technology. He blogs at [link: http://capitalmind.in]Capital Mind and runs [link: http://marketvision.in]MarketVision, a financial knowledge company.

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